Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000179 0.000199 0.000220 0.000245 0.000272 0.000303 0.000338
2025-03-02 0.000141 0.000170 0.000202 0.000244 0.000295 0.000357 0.000438
2025-03-09 0.000118 0.000150 0.000190 0.000243 0.000313 0.000405 0.000533
2025-03-16 0.000099 0.000131 0.000173 0.000233 0.000316 0.000430 0.000602
2025-03-23 0.000089 0.000122 0.000167 0.000234 0.000332 0.000475 0.000702
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000117 0.000166 0.000242 0.000359 0.000537 0.000835
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000108 0.000157 0.000237 0.000364 0.000566 0.000920
2025-04-13 0.000065 0.000097 0.000145 0.000225 0.000357 0.000574 0.000971
2025-04-20 0.000060 0.000092 0.000142 0.000226 0.000370 0.000616 0.001088
2025-04-27 0.000057 0.000090 0.000141 0.000231 0.000391 0.000674 0.001241
2025-05-04 0.000053 0.000085 0.000136 0.000229 0.000399 0.000709 0.001355
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000082 0.000134 0.000231 0.000413 0.000757 0.001502
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000077 0.000129 0.000228 0.000420 0.000795 0.001640
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000074 0.000127 0.000229 0.000434 0.000848 0.001823
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000071 0.000123 0.000228 0.000444 0.000896 0.002003
2025-06-08 0.000037 0.000065 0.000116 0.000218 0.000435 0.000903 0.002087
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000063 0.000114 0.000220 0.000449 0.000961 0.002309
2025-06-22 0.000034 0.000062 0.000115 0.000227 0.000479 0.001058 0.002653
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000059 0.000110 0.000222 0.000479 0.001087 0.002819
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000054 0.000103 0.000211 0.000464 0.001076 0.002871
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000053 0.000102 0.000212 0.000477 0.001137 0.003149
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000052 0.000102 0.000217 0.000500 0.001230 0.003542
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000050 0.000099 0.000215 0.000507 0.001277 0.003805